The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is forecasting a warmer winter from California through the Midwest to Maine.
Based on the conditions in the Pacific Ocean running cooler than average (also known as La Niña), which Deputy Director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center Mike Halpert said are similar to those observed last year, the forecast for this winter will likely be similar to last year's. "Typical La Nina patterns during winter include above-average precipitation and colder than average temperatures along the northern tier of the US and below-normal precipitation and drier conditions across the South".
La Nina has a 55- to 65-percent chance of developing before winter sets in, NOAA forecasters indicate.
Much of the USA should expect another warm winter, but not quite as toasty as the last two years, forecasters say.
And while the prediction believes precipitation will be above-average this winter, there is still a chance of drought conditions in parts of the northern Plains.
And for the rest of the US, most of the northern region can expect wetter-than-average conditions and the entire southern region will see drier-than-normal conditions. Below-average temperatures are forecast for southern Alaska, the Pacific Northwest and the Northern Tier states.
But higher than average precipitation could improve drought conditions in coastal New England, Halpert noted.
Keim says the last few weeks of dry and warm weather are a precursor of this coming winter according to NOAA.
Spaccio said that for the Northeast overall, La Niña "can cause a stormier winter" but that doesn't necessarily mean more snow.
The agency's winter outlook will be updated on November 16.
Drier-than-normal conditions are most likely across the entire southern U.S.
Look for his winter weather forecast next Thursday.
In the Southwest, Pastelok expects that drier and warmer weather will dominate.